According to the latest polls, the Popular Party (PP) is well ahead of the party of socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez in the run-up to the early legislative elections on November 29. Studies show, however, that the PP would need the support of the far-right Vox party to obtain a majority in Parliament.
Published on: 09/11/2026 - 16:39
The Popular Party (PP), a conservative Spanish party, is ahead of Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) in the latest polls in the run-up to the early legislative elections on November 29.
The election campaign, which begins in four days, is expected to be dominated by issues such as housing, immigration and corruption, as well as the repercussions of last month's rail disaster, which led to the resignation of Transport Minister Oscar Puente.
Also (re)readViolent shock, “human error”: what we know about the railway drama which is still mourning Spain
Studies show, on the other hand, that the PP would need the support of the far-right party Vox to obtain a parliamentary majority.
A SocioMetrica poll published by the newspaper El Español predicts that around 200 seats out of 350 will be won by the PP and Vox together in the Congress of Deputies, the lower house of Parliament.
According to this survey, the Socialists would obtain 108 seats, two more than in the previous poll.
This poll, carried out from 5,460 online interviews and presenting a margin of error of three percentage points, shows a net transfer of 832,000 voters from the left to the right.
No common list for the far left
A poll carried out by 40dB for El País showed that the gap between the PP and the Socialists had narrowed to two percentage points, with the Psoe having increased by 1.8 percentage points compared to the previous poll to reach 29.9% of voting intentions.
The study shows, however, that the entire right would obtain a working majority of around 190 seats. 40dB surveyed 2,000 people online and the margin of error was 2.2 percentage points.
A Sigma Dos poll published by El Mundo indicates that the Socialists are regaining some of the ground lost after the train accident on the line linking Madrid to Andalusia, and are now expected to win 105 seats.
On the other hand, they remain far behind the 199 seats of the PP and Vox. This survey, carried out among 4,172 people, has a margin of error of 2.1 percentage points.
See alsoThe death of Maricarmen in Madrid, a “murder due to real estate speculation”
Another Imop poll conducted for El Confidencial focused on vote transfers rather than seat projections, highlighting a decline in voter loyalty toward the Socialists and an increase for the PP.
Last month, Spain's far-left parties failed to agree on a common list of candidates, reducing Pedro Sanchez's chances of remaining in power.
With Reuters
Keywords associated with the article
The content you are trying to access does not exist or is no longer available.
