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Published on: 04/06/2026 - 23:01 Last updated: 05/06/2026 - 10:01

The timing of the message sent by the Iranian leader raises questions about what is going on inside the corridors of the regime. It was issued at a moment when Iran is witnessing widespread debate about the cost of the recent war. Iran realizes that any understandings related to Lebanon carry dimensions that go beyond the Lebanese arena itself, given the connection of this file to the network of regional balances extending from the Gulf to the eastern Mediterranean. Therefore, any attempt to separate the Lebanese file from the US-Iranian negotiations is interpreted as an attempt to reduce Tehran’s ability to use its regional influence. Analysis by Andre Mahaug

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